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Zegura's Fantasy Football Fact Sheet: Week 5


  1. The Browns are allowing a touchdown on 84.6 percent of their opponent's possessions in the red zone this year, worst in the NFL.
  1. The Browns have allowed multiple quarterback touchdowns in each of the first four games this year. Josh McCown has produced multiple touchdowns in just one game this year and has yet to throw for 250 yards in any game. McCown enters this game having won back to back starts for the first time since 2004.
  1. Quarterbacks have a 115.2 rating against the Browns, second highest in the NFL.
  1. The Browns have allowed four running back touchdowns on the year (two rushing and two receiving), but no back has reached the 70-yard mark against them on the ground. The Browns are allowing just 3.0 yards per carry this season, the third stingiest number in the NFL and are currently the eighth-ranked run defense at 87.3 yards per game.
  1. With Matt Forte out for the Jets in Week 4, Bilal Powell played a season-high 46 snaps and took 21 carries for 163 yards and a touchdown. He also caught four passes for 27 yards and enters Week 5 having scored in each of the last two games. Dating back to last year, Powell has rushed for at least 120 yards in each of his last three games with 20-plus carries.
  1. Meanwhile, rookie running back Elijah McGuire is also coming off a season-best 91 yards and a touchdown rushing in Week 4 and boasts a 6.8 yards per carry average heading into Sunday.
  1. Three receivers have produced 15 FanDuel points against the Browns this year, two of which hit the 24-point mark and posted Top 5 fantasy finishes. So far the opposing team's reception leader has produced double-digit fantasy points every single week.
  1. No secondary receiver has produced even 50 yards or more than five FanDuel points, however. Jermaine Kearse and Robby Anderson are tied for the team lead with 24 targets, but Kearse leads the way with 18 catches while Anderson has the lead in yards at 204.
  1. The Jets do not have a tight end on the roster with more than 77 yards receiving through four games, nor do they have a single tight end touchdown. Austin Seferian-Jenkins is their leading tight end with nine catches for 77 yards in two games.
  1. No team has allowed more fantasy points to tight ends than the Browns, who have produced season-best days for Tyler Kroft (21.8 points), Ben Watson (13.1) and Jesse James (19.1) through the first four weeks of the season.
  1. DeShone Kizer has produced multiple touchdowns in two of his four starts but has failed to produce a touchdown in either of his other two. No quarterback has thrown for more than 230 yards against the Jets this year, and after giving up 20 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks the first two weeks, they are allowing just 180 yards passing, one touchdown, one interception and 12.55 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks in their last two games.
  1. The Browns have scored six touchdowns on nine red zone trips, and their 66.7 percent red zone touchdown percentage is fourth-best in the NFL.
  1. Dating back to 2016, Isaiah Crowell has rushed for 65 or more yards in just two of his last 16 starts and has been held to fewer than 50 yards rushing on 12 occasions. So far, four of the five running backs to take 10-plus carries against the Jets have scored a touchdown against them, and both LeSean McCoy and Leonard Fournette have rushed for more than 85 yards against them.
  1. The Jets have already allowed five backs to top 10 FanDuel points against them and a running back has produced more than 140 total yards against them twice while topping 100 total yards three times. On three separate occasions, a running back has produced at least 49 receiving yards against the Jets as well.
  1. Duke Johnson Jr. has 80-plus total yards or a touchdown in three straight games as one of the few bright spots on the Browns offense. Over the last three weeks, Johnson is the team's leading receiver with 18 catches for 187 yards.
  1. Charles Clay is the only tight end to reach 30 yards or score against the Jets all year. In Week 4, Mercedes Lewis followed up a three-touchdown performance against the Ravens with a total goose egg against the Jets.

3 to Start

  1. QB Carson Palmer vs. PHI: Palmer has thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight games and the Eagles are allowing 20 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks over that same span. Eighty percent of the yards gained against the Eagles have come via the pass this year, so look for Palmer, Larry Fitzgerald, J.J. Nelson and the Brown Bros. to take advantage of a banged up Eagles secondary.
  1. Latavius Murray vs. CHI: When Dalvin Cook went down last week, Murray played 19 snaps to just six for Jerrick McKinnon. He will get every chance to be the bell cow against the Bears, who have had a running back produce at least 11 points in every game against them this year. The opposing primary ball carrier has scored a rushing touchdown against the Bears in all four games this year as well.
  1. WR DeVante Parker vs. TEN: The Titans pass defense has produced a Top 12 FanDuel receiver against them in every game this year (they are the only pass defense to allow this). Last week, we had DeAndre Hopkins here and he delivered. This week will be Parker's turn. Parker has at least eight targets in every game this year and is averaging six catches for 77 yards per game and should be able to find the end zone against the Titans, who have allowed a league-high eight receiver touchdowns this season.
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