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Zegura's Fantasy Football Fact Sheet: Week 11

#CLEvsJAX

  1. Quarterbacks have produced multiple touchdowns in eight of the Browns' nine games this year. Blake Bortles has produced multiple touchdowns in just one of his last 14 games dating back to last year. Bortles has just one 20-point FanDuel day this year, while QBs have enjoyed four such days in the last seven games.
  1. The Browns have recorded an interception in four of their last five games.
  1. The Browns boast the league's fourth-ranked run defense, allowing just 86.4 yards rushing per game. They are giving up only 3.1 yards per carry, however, which is the best in the entire NFL (second-best is 3.4 yards per carry).
  1. No runner has rushed for 70 yards against the Browns all season, but they have allowed a back to rush for 50 yards with a touchdown in each of the last two games. In fact, backs have three total touchdowns against the Browns in the last two weeks alone.
  1. Leonard Fournette was held to a season-low 33 rushing yards in Week 10 and was held out of the end zone for the first time all year. In his three games before the letdown, Fournette averaged 156 total yards and 1.3 touchdowns per game.
  1. The opposing No. 1 receiver has scored in seven of the last eight against the Browns and the opposing top target is averaging nearly 14 FanDuel points per game over the last four against the Browns.
  1. Marqise Lee leads the Jags in targets (39), receptions (23), receiving yards (285) over the last four weeks and has scored in each of the last two games as well.
  1. The Browns have allowed at least 60 yards receiving or a touchdown to tight ends in six straight games and eight of nine this year. They got Eric Ebron out of his slump and Marcedes Lewis will look to be the latest tight end to benefit from the matchup. Lewis has not produced 60 yards in a game since Week 3 and has just one touchdown in his last six games.
  1. The Jags have allowed only three touchdown drives on the road all year in 2017, best in the NFL.
  1. The Jags have 11 turnovers on the road this year, also best in the NFL.
  1. DeShone Kizer had his best game of the year in Week 10 at the Lions, as he threw for 232 yards with one touchdown and ran for another 57 yards and a score en route to a 24-point day on FanDuel. A repeat performance will be very difficult against the Jags, who lead the NFL in sacks with 35 (29 is second place) and are the No. 1-ranked pass defense at just 165 yards per game. No team has allowed fewer passing scores this year than the Jags, who have allowed just six passing scores (the Browns have allowed 19 such scores). Philip Rivers is the only quarterback all year to throw multiple touchdowns against Jacksonville or produce even 15 FanDuel points.
  1. Todd Gurley (116 in Week 6) is the only rusher to top 50 yards against the Jags since Week 4. Backs have scored in two straight games against the Jags, however, and a runner has at least 12 FanDuel points against them in three of the last four games.
  1. Isaiah Crowell had his best day of the year in Week 10, as he rushed for a season-high 90 yards on 16 carries and scored a touchdown for the second straight week. He has back-to-back FanDuel games of 16-plus points heading into this showdown with the Jags.
  1. Duke Johnson Jr. has 70-plus total yards or a touchdown in six of the last eight games and has caught at least six passes in two of his last three starts. Last week Austin Ekeler of the Chargers became the first back to catch a score (two touchdowns) or reach 50 yards receiving (77) against the Jags.
  1. Antonio Brown (Week 5) is the only receiver to top 70 yards receiving against the Jags this year, and DeAndre Hopkins (Week 1) is the only receiver to score a touchdown against them all year. Outside of those two performances, no receiver has produced even eight FanDuel points against the Jags all year long.
  1. Kenny Britt has caught each of the last two touchdown passes thrown by Kizer this year.
  1. Corey Coleman will make his return in Week 11 and has totaled six catches for 62 yards and a touchdown on 13 targets in two games this year. In 2016, Coleman never topped 40 yards and had just one touchdown in his eight games after the injury.
  1. The Jags have allowed just one tight end touchdown in their last six games and only one tight end has even reached 50 yards against them during that span.
  1. David Njoku has seen 23 targets in his last four games, but has caught just seven of them for 80 yards, which is just 3.47 yards per target, worst among all receivers and tight ends during that span.

3 to Start

  1. QB Derek Carr vs. NE: Carr has thrown for 300-plus yards in three straight starts after starting the year with no 300-yard games over the first five weeks. Seven of the nine quarterbacks to face the Pats this year have finished in the Top 12 against them and Carr will likely have to air it out to keep pace with the Pats in this one.
  1. RB Melvin Gordon vs. BUF: No team has allowed more rushing yards over the last two weeks than the Bills, who have allowed four different runners to top 70-yards in those two games alone. Over the last two weeks, backs have run for 475 yards and six touchdowns while averaging six yards per carry.
  1. WR Jeremy Maclin vs. GB: Maclin is averaging nearly 14 FanDuel points per game in his last two outings and has been a Top 15 FanDuel receiver in each of those starts. The Packers have allowed multiple receivers to top 10-plus FanDuel Points in four of their last five games and Green Bay is allowing the fifth-most points to the position this year.
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