Zegura's Fantasy Football Fact Sheet: Week 4


  1. The Browns have allowed multiple quarterback touchdowns in each of the first three games this year. Andy Dalton failed to produce a touchdown in either of the first two games, but bounced back with 212 yards and two touchdowns on 21 –of-27 passing in Week 3 under new offensive coordinator Bill Lazor. Dalton has thrown for multiple touchdowns in four straight games against the Browns.
  1. The Browns have allowed just one running back rushing touchdown all year and no back reached the 70-yard mark against them on the ground. The Browns are allowing just 3.1 yards per carry this season, the fourth stingiest number in the NFL despite facing 28.3 carries per game, which is sixth most. [


  1. Under Lazor, rookie RB Joe Mixon set career highs with 34 snaps played, 18 carries, 62 rushing yards and 39 receiving yards on three catches. He topped 100 total yards for the first time in his career and his 21 total Week 3 touches matched his 21 touches in the first two weeks combined.
  1. The Browns have faced two dominant receivers in the first three weeks in Antonio Brown (180 yards) and T.Y. Hilton (153 yards and a touchdown) and both of them posted 24 FanDuel points and were Top 5 at their position for the week. This week, A.J. Green comes to town. Green is receiving 33% of the Bengals' passes thus far and has produced 41.5 percent of their passing yards (252 out of 606.). Green had his best game of the year last week, setting seasonal highs in terms of targets (13), receptions (10), yards (111) and touchdowns (one).
  1. No other pass catcher on the Bengals, outside of Green, has even produced 70 yards receiving on the season and no wide receiver or tight end not named A.J. has scored.
  1. The Cincinnati tackle duo of Cedric Ogbuehi and Jake Fisher has allowed four sacks and 24 combined pressures through three games. Emmanuel Ogbah, who has just one QB hurry in 77 pass rush snaps this year, recorded 3.5 of his 5.5 sacks against the Bengals in 2016.
  1. DeShone Kizer leads all quarterbacks with two rushing touchdowns and has now produced multiple scores and 20-plus FanDuel points in two of his first three NFL starts. Opposing quarterbacks are averaging 21.75 FanDuel points against the Bengals the last two weeks and, on the year, the Bengals have allowed 90 yards rushing to quarterbacks (most in the NFL) and five total touchdowns to just two interceptions.
  1. The Browns have scored six touchdowns on nine red zone trips, and their 66.7 percent red zone touchdown percentage is fourth-best in the NFL.
  1. Dating back to 2016, Isaiah Crowell has rushed for 65 or more yards in just two of his last 15 starts and he has been held to fewer than 50 yards rushing on 11 occasions. The two big games both saw Crowell top the century mark, but far too often he has not produced at the level expected heading into any given Sunday. To be fair, Crowell has received more than 15 carries in just four of his last 15 starts. He has received 10-plus carries in the first half of two of the first three games, but has just nine total second-half carries this year.
  1. Duke Johnson has 80-plus total yards in each of the last two games and led the Browns with 104 total yards and a touchdown on just eight touches in Week 3.
  1. No running back has scored or produced 10-plus FanDuel points against the Bengals in two straight games.
  1. The Browns top three receivers, Kenny Britt (three catches on 10 targets), Ricardo Louis (one catch on six targets) and Rashard Higgins (two catches on six targets) all struggled mightily in Week 3 against the Colts. Britt did still find the end zone in Week 3 and the Browns have had one receiver produce double-digit fantasy points in every single game this year. It has been a different Browns receiver every single week, but the Bengals have surrendered at least one 10-plus points to receivers in all three games this year.
  1. In three weeks, just one tight end has scored, topped 50 yards or topped three FanDuel points against the Bengals. That tight end was Lance Kendricks of the Packers last week, and he is the second tight end on his team. Seth DeValve is the team's second-leading receiver and David Njoku has scored in each of the last two weeks, but this seems like a tough matchup for the Browns' young tight ends.

3 to Start

  1. QB Dak Prescott vs. LAR: Prescott had as tough a stretch to open the season as you could ask for, and he still produced 20-plus Fantasy points in all three games. Things get much easier this week against the Rams, who have allowed nearly 67 percent completions, four total touchdowns and 20 FanDuel points per game to quarterbacks over the last two weeks. Just last week, Brian Hoyer produced 332 yards and two touchdowns passing, while adding a rushing touchdown (Prescott scored as a runner last week as well).
  1. RB Christian McCaffrey vs. NE: With Greg Olsen out and Kelvin Benjamin banged up, McCaffrey has become the focus of the Panthers passing game. In Week 3, McCaffrey was targeted 11 times and caught nine passes for 101 yards. He has at least 85 total yards in two of his three starts this year and the Pats have struggled with pass catching backs in 2017, giving up 50+ yards receiving to a back in every game this year.
  1. WR DeAndre Hopkins vs. TEN: Hopkins enters Week 4 as the only receiver in the NFL to have at least seven catches in every game this year. He averages more than 100 yards receiving per game against the Titans for his career, and the Titans pass defense has produced a Top 12 FanDuel receiver against them in every game this year (they are the only pass defense to allow this).
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